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Macroeconomics

Minneapolis Fed research examining the larger, aggregate view of the economy, including trends in income and spending of government, business, nonprofit institutions, and households.

1-12 of 256

Staff Reports
A Model of Global Firms and Capital MarketsLoukas Karabarbounis | Consultant

Bruno Pellegrino | Columbia Business School

Juliana Salomao | University of Minnesota

August 19, 2026
Research
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis building and logo
As tensions rise, countries borrow less from rivals—at the cost of global financial stabilityJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
August 14, 2026
Article
Staff Reports
Tariffs, Investment, and the Missing Trade Collapse

Francesco Ferrante | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Andrea Prestipino | Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Andrea Raffo | Senior Vice President and Director of ResearchMichael E. Waugh | Monetary Advisor
August 7, 2026
Research
Mechanical hands representing AI pushing up and down on a chart line
How is AI influencing interest rates? Investment, productivity, prices, and moreJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
August 3, 2026
Article
Staff Reports
Analyzing Occupational Licensing Across Nations

Jonathan S. Hartley | University of Texas at Austin and Hoover Institution

Morris Kleiner | Visiting Scholar
July 7, 2026
Research
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis building and logo
Official creditors and partial default transform dominant model of sovereign debtJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
June 30, 2026
Article
Staff Reports
International Risk-Sharing in a Fragmented WorldJavier Bianchi | Monetary Advisor

Sebastian Horn | University of Hamburg, Kiel Institute, and CEPR

Giovanni Rosso | University of Oxford

César Sosa-Padilla | University of Notre Dame
June 30, 2026
Research
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis building and logo
From price-to-earnings to “free cash flow”: With a shift in perspective, stocks look less overpricedJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
June 1, 2026
Article
Thibaut Lamadon speaking to a group of people
“Leading lights” in macro and labor economics gather in Minneapolis to push labor models forwardJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
May 27, 2026
Article
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis building and logo
For governments that borrow in their own currency, a less-informed public buys timeJeff Horwich | Senior Economics Writer
May 6, 2026
Article
Staff Reports
Default and Interest Rate Shocks: Renegotiation Matters

Victor Almeida | Carleton College

Carlos Esquivel | Rutgers University

Timothy J. Kehoe | Consultant, University of Minnesota, and National Bureau of Economic ResearchJuan Pablo Nicolini | Principal Research Economist and Universidad Torcuato Di Tella
May 4, 2026
Research
Staff Reports
Trade in AI-Related ProductsMichael E. Waugh | Monetary Advisor
April 8, 2026
Research