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COVID-19 Vaccination and Financial Frictions

Staff Report 632 | Revised June 30, 2022

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Authors

Cristina Arellano Assistant Director, Policy and Monetary Advisor
Yan Bai University of Rochester, NBER, and CEPR
Gabriel Mihalache Ohio State University
COVID-19 Vaccination and Financial Frictions

Abstract

We study the COVID-19 epidemic in emerging markets that face financial frictions and its mitigation through social distancing and vaccination. We find that restricted vaccine availability in emerging markets, as captured by limited quantities and high prices, renders the pandemic exceptionally costly in these countries, compared with economies without financial frictions. Improved access to financial markets enables a better response to the delay in vaccine supplies, as it supports more stringent social distancing measures before wider vaccine availability. We show that financial assistance programs to such financially constrained countries can increase vaccinations and lower fatalities, at no present-value cost to the international community.




Published in: _IMF Economic Review_ (Vol. 71, pp. 216-242), https://doi.org/10.1057/s41308-022-00186-4.